Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.422285 0.462476 0.505449 0.554922 0.610440 0.670970 0.742159
2026-01-25 0.358941 0.415376 0.479940 0.559736 0.656348 0.770349 0.916256
2026-02-01 0.313776 0.376384 0.451268 0.548344 0.672182 0.826681 1.036885
2026-02-08 0.287047 0.354418 0.437965 0.550617 0.700759 0.897189 1.179058
2026-02-15 0.263500 0.333181 0.422215 0.546300 0.717959 0.951956 1.303840
2026-02-22 0.246622 0.318514 0.412869 0.548360 0.742312 1.016980 1.448704
2026-03-01 0.229318 0.301570 0.398603 0.541599 0.752513 1.061483 1.566857
2026-03-08 0.213720 0.285601 0.384134 0.532763 0.758020 1.098408 1.676182
2026-03-15 0.197689 0.267826 0.365672 0.516268 0.749978 1.112934 1.749711
2026-03-22 0.191391 0.263332 0.365711 0.526947 0.784081 1.196309 1.948202
2026-03-29 0.185053 0.258271 0.364406 0.535186 0.814628 1.276389 2.150846
2026-04-05 0.177909 0.251513 0.360003 0.538020 0.836259 1.343119 2.337436
2026-04-12 0.170745 0.244430 0.354825 0.539490 0.856199 1.409813 2.535410
2026-04-19 0.164855 0.238943 0.351752 0.544125 0.881932 1.489571 2.771392
2026-04-26 0.155979 0.228317 0.339891 0.533119 0.878957 1.515719 2.900407
2026-05-03 0.150643 0.222927 0.336030 0.535315 0.899731 1.588698 3.140086
2026-05-10 0.144413 0.215769 0.328840 0.531144 0.908232 1.638351 3.335460
2026-05-17 0.139852 0.211042 0.325341 0.533135 0.928330 1.713072 3.600301
2026-05-24 0.134004 0.203919 0.317425 0.526601 0.931337 1.752715 3.787553
2026-05-31 0.128186 0.196574 0.308741 0.518063 0.929617 1.782033 3.953863
2026-06-07 0.121442 0.187396 0.296473 0.502120 0.911783 1.774644 4.024949
2026-06-14 0.119592 0.186343 0.298179 0.512442 0.948190 1.890830 4.443055
2026-06-21 0.117435 0.184655 0.298655 0.520404 0.980335 2.001087 4.867229